Which Democrat will win the 2020 South Carolina primary?

Started Feb 03, 2020 05:31PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2020 12:00AM UTC
Resolution Notes

Joe Biden is the victor. Here's a detailed map of how he did it: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/29/us/elections/results-south-carolina-primary-precinct-map.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Bernie Sanders 11%
Elizabeth Warren 0%
Joe Biden 86%
Pete Buttigieg 3%
Another Candidate 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 6
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 29
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.017807
2.
-0.006548
3.
-0.001448
4.
0.003651
5.
0.013612

Consensus Trend

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