Which Democrat will win the 2020 New Hampshire primary?

Started Feb 03, 2020 05:29PM UTC
Closed Feb 12, 2020 01:00AM UTC
Resolution Notes

Looks like Bernie Sanders will pull out the win with a 1.5% gap between he and second place finisher Pete Buttigieg. Amy Klobuchar finishes 3rd.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Bernie Sanders 70%
Elizabeth Warren 0%
Joe Biden 0%
Pete Buttigieg 10%
Another Candidate 20%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 3
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 14
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.034
2.
-0.022
3.
0.131

Consensus Trend

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username