Will the S&P 500 fall by more than 300 points between May 1, 2019 and July 31, 2019?

Started May 07, 2019 05:20PM UTC
Closed Jul 29, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 39%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 5
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 7
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.11
2.
-0.019
3.
-0.01
5.
0.189

Consensus Trend

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