Which of these films will be nominated for a 2020 Oscar for Best Movie?

Started Feb 28, 2019 07:05PM UTC
Closed Jan 14, 2020 04:02AM UTC
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This initial list is based on a very early assessment done by Vanity Fair. Read more of the article to learn about each movie: https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2019/02/oscars-2020-early-predictions


Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Report 60%
Late Night 10%
Brittany Runs a Marathon 10%
Clemency 10%
The Souvenir 10%
The Farewell 40%
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 20%
Little Women 90%
Rocketman 30%
Once Upon a Time . . . in Hollywood 53%
The Irishman 48%
Ad Astra 10%
Gemini Man 10%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 5
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.022
2.
0.062
3.
0.111
4.
0.183
5.
0.237

Consensus Trend

Files
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