Will a peace deal be signed prior to 1 April 2019 between the U.S. and the Taliban to end the war in Afghanistan?

Started Jan 28, 2019 05:05PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2019 04:00PM UTC
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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/28/world/asia/taliban-peace-deal-afghanistan.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 10
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 13
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.004
2.
-0.003
3.
-0.002
4.
-0.002
5.
-0.0

Consensus Trend

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