Will a peace deal be signed prior to 1 April 2019 between the U.S. and the Taliban to end the war in Afghanistan?
Started
Jan 28, 2019 05:05PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 29, 2019 04:00PM UTC
Challenges
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/28/world/asia/taliban-peace-deal-afghanistan.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 3% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 10 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 13 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |