Who will win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?

Started Jan 22, 2019 05:30PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Christian Bale - Vice 35%
Bradley Cooper - A Star is Born 16%
Willem Dafoe - At Eternity's Gate 16%
Rami Malek - Bohemian Rhapsody 32%
Viggo Mortensen - Green Book 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 4
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 5
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.117158
2.
-0.030556
3.
0.001495
4.
0.053095

Consensus Trend

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