What movie will win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?

Started Jan 22, 2019 05:37PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
A Star Is Born 12%
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 12%
BlacKkKlansman 38%
Can You Ever Forgive Me? 12%
If Beale Street Could Talk 26%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 3
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 4
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.243
2.
-0.008
3.
0.039

Consensus Trend

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