Will any group of U.S. government employees affected by the shutdown organize a walkout with large enough numbers that is widely covered (i.e., makes front page of a major US media outlet) by 1 February 2019?
Started
Jan 08, 2019 05:58PM UTC
Closed Jan 25, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 25, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Note: This will resolve as "yes" if it is recognized in major press as a known, coordinated effort (such as by a union, an organization, grassroots movement via social media, etc.)
Resolution Notes
Trump signed bill to end the shutdown on 1/25/19 and no government affected groups up to that point *officially* coordinated protests or walkouts.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 4 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 9 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
