By 1 February 2019, will the U.S. Government still be under a shutdown?

Started Jan 08, 2019 05:48PM UTC
Closed Jan 25, 2019 03:00PM UTC

Note: As long as any part of the government remains closed, we will consider it a "shutdown" and resolve as "Yes".
Resolution Notes

Trump signed a bill on Friday, 1/25/19 ending the government shutdown (for 3 weeks during negotiations for the wall). https://www.apnews.com/30769167ab7a4ef9adf880d020b775dd
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/25/us/politics/trump-shutdown-deal.html
https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2019/01/25/dems-gop-feel-urgency-end-government-shutdown/38953917/

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 8
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 13
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.321
2.
-0.222
3.
-0.137
4.
0.01
5.
0.103

Consensus Trend

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