Who will be the next Chicago Mayor to succeed Rahm Emanuel? (Election is February 26, 2019)
Started
Dec 03, 2018 07:02PM UTC
Closed Feb 26, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 26, 2019 11:00PM UTC
Challenges
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Some notes about how we'll judge this question:
- If a candidate drops out, they'll be resolved as 0
- We will judge this question on the date and time the election is certified. If something happens to the Mayor-elect and they are not able to assume their duties, we will subsequently refund/void the question since we specifically ask "Who will be Mayor after Rahm Emanuel?"
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Toni Preckwinkle | 19% | |
Garry McCarthy | 21% | |
William M. Daley | 25% | |
Gery Chico | 7% | |
Paul Vallas | 6% | |
Write-in candidate | 1% | |
Other not listed | 21% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 12 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 25 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |