Who will be identified as the main author of the NYTimes Op-Ed on the Trump Administration?
Started
Sep 12, 2018 05:19PM UTC
Closed Nov 29, 2018 11:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 29, 2018 11:00PM UTC
Challenges
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Chief of Staff John Kelly | 1% | |
| Secretary of Defense James Mattis | 1% | |
| Vice President Mike Pence | 1% | |
| US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley | 1% | |
| Former Economic Adviser Gary Cohn | 7% | |
| First Lady Melania Trump | 0% | |
| Ambassador to Russia Jon Huntsman | 13% | |
| Someone else | 9% | |
| Won't be identified by Nov. 30th | 67% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 6 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 24 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
