What will be the GDP growth estimate (advanced announcement) in the U.S. in Q3?
Started
Jul 27, 2018 11:16AM UTC
Closed Oct 26, 2018 11:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 26, 2018 11:00AM UTC
Challenges
Source to judge question will be the Bureau of Economic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Commerce.
Resolution Notes
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Negative growth | 0% | |
| 0% - 1% | 20% | |
| 1.1% - 2% | 8% | |
| 2.1% - 3% | 16% | |
| 3.1% - 4% | 22% | |
| 4.1% - 5% | 32% | |
| 5.1% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 11 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 30 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
