What will be the GDP growth estimate (advanced announcement) in the U.S. in Q3?
Started
Jul 27, 2018 11:16AM UTC
Closed Oct 26, 2018 11:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 26, 2018 11:00AM UTC
Challenges
Source to judge question will be the Bureau of Economic Analysis at the U.S. Department of Commerce.
Resolution Notes
https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Negative growth | 0% | |
0% - 1% | 20% | |
1.1% - 2% | 8% | |
2.1% - 3% | 16% | |
3.1% - 4% | 22% | |
4.1% - 5% | 32% | |
5.1% or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 11 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 30 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |