When will John Kelly depart his role as Chief of Staff at the White House?

Started Jul 17, 2018 02:50AM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2018 05:59AM UTC

To resolve this question, there must be an official statement from the White House about Mr. Kelly's departure. This departure could be because of re-assignment, resignation, firing, or death.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
On or Before August 31, 2018 8%
September 2018 15%
October 2018 8%
November 2018 20%
December 2018 or later 80%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 9
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 19
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.046
2.
-0.011
3.
0.003
4.
0.004

Consensus Trend

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username