Oscars 2018: Who will win Supporting Actress?

Started Jan 26, 2018 07:06PM UTC
Closed Mar 03, 2018 06:59AM UTC

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/list-2018-oscar-nominations-1202668757/
Resolution Notes

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/04/arts/oscar-winners.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Mary J. Blige, “Mudbound” 3%
Allison Janney, “I, Tonya” 29%
Lesley Manville, “Phantom Thread” 11%
Laurie Metcalf, “Lady Bird” 23%
Octavia Spencer, “The Shape of Water” 34%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 6
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 12
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.09
2.
-0.055
3.
-0.051
4.
0.191
5.
0.207

Consensus Trend

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