Oscars 2018: Who will win Lead Actress?

Started Jan 26, 2018 07:04PM UTC
Closed Mar 03, 2018 06:59AM UTC

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/list-2018-oscar-nominations-1202668757/
Resolution Notes

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/04/arts/oscar-winners.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Sally Hawkins, “The Shape of Water” 18%
Frances McDormand, “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” 54%
Margot Robbie, “I, Tonya” 18%
Saoirse Ronan, “Lady Bird” 9%
Meryl Streep, “The Post” 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 5
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 10
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.093177
2.
-0.038733
3.
-0.032053
4.
0.056677
5.
0.16666

Consensus Trend

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