Oscars 2018: Who will win Lead Actor?

Started Jan 26, 2018 07:03PM UTC
Closed Mar 03, 2018 06:59AM UTC

http://variety.com/2018/film/news/list-2018-oscar-nominations-1202668757/
Resolution Notes

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/03/04/arts/oscar-winners.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Timothée Chalamet, “Call Me by Your Name” 1%
Daniel Day-Lewis, “Phantom Thread” 11%
Daniel Kaluuya, “Get Out” 46%
Gary Oldman, “Darkest Hour” 40%
Denzel Washington, “Roman J. Israel, Esq.” 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 8
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 13
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.044
2.
-0.041
3.
-0.013
4.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

Consensus Trend

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