Will the sale of new vehicles in the U.S. fall again in 2018?

Started Jan 17, 2018 03:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-42698718 The sale of new vehicles dropped 2% in 2017 in the U.S. to 17.2 million vehicles.
Resolution Notes

Sales held steady with 2017: https://www.wsj.com/articles/auto-makers-expected-to-report-2018-sales-of-17-2-million-vehicles-11546521803

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 45%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.323511
2.
-0.26558
3.
-0.26069
4.
-0.259937
5.
-0.174545

Consensus Trend

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