Will the Republicans retain the majority after the mid-term elections on November 6, 2018?

Started Jan 15, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2018 05:59AM UTC

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/ Republicans currently hold 239 of the 438 seats. All seats are up for election.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 40%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.290207
2.
-0.227069
3.
-0.109152
4.
-0.067793
5.
-0.054724

Consensus Trend

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