Will a U.S. Embassy in the Middle East be attacked* by December 31, 2017?
Started
Dec 06, 2017 03:45AM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Challenges
In lieu of the Trump Administration's possible decision to announce the United States' recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, will resulting protests include an outright attack on a U.S. Embassy in a Middle Eastern country?
An "attack" is defined as a penetration of exterior fencing or embassy walls by a weapon (bomb, bullet, etc.), vehicle (car, plane, etc.), or person with a weapon infiltrating the facility.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 20% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 13 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 22 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |