Will a Republican win the Senate seat in Alabama's December 12, 2017 election?

Started Nov 13, 2017 07:21PM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2017 09:00PM UTC
Resolution Notes

AP and other reputable sources have called the race for Doug Jones so, resolving this at 0%. Thanks for forecasting!

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 60%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 11
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 23
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.775
2.
-0.273
3.
-0.189
4.
-0.077
5.
-0.043

Consensus Trend

Files
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