Will the majority of Australians vote in favor of same-sex marriage in the upcoming ballot?

Started Sep 15, 2017 02:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 07, 2017 11:00AM UTC
Resolution Notes

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-41992344

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 89%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 16
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.057
2.
-0.048
3.
-0.028
4.
-0.024
5.
-0.022

Consensus Trend

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