Who will win the 2016 U.S. Presidential election?
Started
Oct 27, 2015 06:01PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2016 02:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2016 02:00AM UTC
Challenges
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Hillary Clinton | 77% | |
| Marco Rubio | 0% | |
| Bernie Sanders | 1% | |
| Donald Trump | 23% | |
| Jeb Bush | 0% | |
| Ben Carson | 0% | |
| Chris Christie | 0% | |
| Ted Cruz | 0% | |
| Other | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 160 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1100 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
