Will a major Category 3 or higher Hurricane (at least 111 mph, 178 km/h) strike the USA Atlantic/Caribbean coastline prior to November 1, 2017?

Started Aug 10, 2017 02:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 25, 2017 05:00AM UTC
Challenges

Hurricane Data •Peak Season: Mid Aug-Oct •96% of major storms during peak •Cat 3+ a major storm •Last major: Wilma '05 http://www.nhc.noaa.gov http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php
Resolution Notes

http://www.weather.gov/crp/hurricane_harvey

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 75%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 9
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 27
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.191
2.
-0.19
3.
-0.036
4.
0.134
5.
0.371

Consensus Trend

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