What will happen in Bill Cosby's next Pennsylvania trial for charges of sexual assault against Andrea Costand?

Started Jul 10, 2017 02:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 26, 2018 07:00PM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Cosby is convicted (guilty) 62%
Cosby is not convicted (not guilty), and no retrial is necessary 33%
Cosby is not convicted (e.g., hung jury), and a retrial will occur 5%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 7
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 22
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.055
2.
-0.004
3.
-0.003
4.
0.002

Consensus Trend

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