When will a new FBI director be confirmed?
Started
May 25, 2017 07:01PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2017 09:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2017 09:00PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Resolution Notes
http://www.npr.org/2017/08/01/540957441/christopher-wray-confirmed-as-next-fbi-director
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2017 - May 31, 2017 | 0% | |
| Jun 1, 2017 - Jun 7, 2017 | 0% | |
| Jun 8, 2017 - Jun 14, 2017 | 0% | |
| Jun 15, 2017 - Jun 21, 2017 | 0% | |
| Jun 22, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Jun 22, 2017 - Jun 28, 2017 | 28% | |
| Jun 29, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Jun 29, 2017 - Jul 5, 2017 | 4% | |
| Jul 6, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Jul 6, 2017 - Jul 12, 2017 | 1% | |
| Jul 13, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Jul 13, 2017 - Jul 19, 2017 | 23% | |
| Jul 20, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Jul 20, 2017 - Jul 26, 2017 | 23% | |
| Jul 27, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Jul 27, 2017 - Aug 2, 2017 | 51% | |
| Aug 3, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Aug 3, 2017 - Aug 9, 2017 | 16% | |
| Aug 10, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Aug 10, 2017 - Aug 16, 2017 | 11% | |
| Aug 17, 2017 or later | 0% | |
| Aug 17, 2017 - Aug 23, 2017 | 9% | |
| Aug 24, 2017 or later | 12% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 10 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 469 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
