With Toshiba looking to sell its microchip business, what will happen to the microchip business by Oct 1, 2017?

Started Apr 12, 2017 04:07PM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2017 02:00PM UTC

Sources: -Toshiba Casts Doubt on Its Ability to Stay in Business, New York Times, April 11, 2017 -Beleaguered Toshiba warns its survival is at risk, publishes unaudited results, International Business Times, UK, April 2017 -Apple, Amazon, Google are in a multibillion bidding war for a prized Toshiba chip unit, report says, Business Insider, April 2017 This question will resolve upon an announcement by Toshiba of having accepted a sale offer of the microchip business (regardless of whether it is approved/denied by the Japanese government). Or, if no announcement is made by Oct 1, then we will resolve as not selling.
Resolution Notes

Toshiba announced deal with Bain-Apple on Sep 28. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/28/business/dealbook/toshiba-bain-apple-chips.html

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Toshiba announces sale to a U.S.-based bidder 52%
Toshiba announces sale to an international bidder (non-U.S., non-Japanese) 1%
Toshiba announces sale to a Japan-based bidder 12%
Toshiba does not sell its microchip business 36%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 10
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 87
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.342748
2.
-0.222313
3.
-0.15216
4.
-0.035728
5.
-0.029095

Consensus Trend

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