With Toshiba looking to sell its microchip business, what will happen to the microchip business by Oct 1, 2017?
Started
Apr 12, 2017 04:07PM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2017 02:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 15, 2017 02:00PM UTC
Sources:
-Toshiba Casts Doubt on Its Ability to Stay in Business, New York Times, April 11, 2017
-Beleaguered Toshiba warns its survival is at risk, publishes unaudited results, International Business Times, UK, April 2017
-Apple, Amazon, Google are in a multibillion bidding war for a prized Toshiba chip unit, report says, Business Insider, April 2017
This question will resolve upon an announcement by Toshiba of having accepted a sale offer of the microchip business (regardless of whether it is approved/denied by the Japanese government). Or, if no announcement is made by Oct 1, then we will resolve as not selling.
Resolution Notes
Toshiba announced deal with Bain-Apple on Sep 28. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/28/business/dealbook/toshiba-bain-apple-chips.html
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Toshiba announces sale to a U.S.-based bidder | 52% | |
Toshiba announces sale to an international bidder (non-U.S., non-Japanese) | 1% | |
Toshiba announces sale to a Japan-based bidder | 12% | |
Toshiba does not sell its microchip business | 36% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 10 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 87 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |