Which city will win the bid to host the 2024 Olympics?

Started Feb 24, 2017 03:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 31, 2017 06:30PM UTC
Resolution Notes

Since this is officially published in the Times, we are going to resolve: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/31/sports/olympics/los-angeles-2028-summer-olympics.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Paris 67%
Los Angeles 32%
Other 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 152
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.173
2.
-0.166
3.
-0.155
4.
-0.151
5.
-0.14

Consensus Trend

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