Who will win the 2017 French presidential election?
Started
Feb 07, 2017 03:27PM UTC
Closed May 07, 2017 10:00AM UTC
Closed May 07, 2017 10:00AM UTC
Challenges
The first round of the 2017 French presidential election will be held on 23 April 2017. Should no candidate win a majority, a run-off election between the top two candidates will be held on 7 May 2017. This question will close for predictions on the morning of the 23rd of April. If there is a run-off, I will resolve all the losing candidates and re-open the question with the run-off candidates until 7 May.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Benoît Hamon - Socialist Party | 0% | |
François Fillon - The Republicans | 5% | |
Marine Le Pen - The National Front | 27% | |
Emmanuel Macron - En Marche! | 73% | |
Jean-Luc Mélenchon - Unsubmissive France | 5% | |
Yannick Jadot - Europe Ecology - The Greens | 0% | |
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan - France Arise | 3% | |
Philippe Poutou - New Anticapitalist Party | 0% | |
Nathalie Arthaud - Workers' Struggle | 0% | |
Jacques Cheminade - Solidarity and Progress | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 332 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 7269 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |