Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Started Jan 27, 2017 03:03PM UTC
Closed Feb 26, 2017 10:00PM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Arrival 1%
Fences 1%
Hacksaw Ridge 1%
Hell or High Water 0%
Hidden Figures 11%
La La Land 51%
Lion 7%
Manchester By The Sea 13%
Moonlight 16%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 8
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 23
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.26767
2.
-0.122845
3.
-0.101174
4.
-0.014468
5.
0.163175

Consensus Trend

Files
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