Review Question
How many tickets will Milwaukee Bucks (team in National Basketball Association) be expected to sell during the season 2021-2022?
| Answer | Initial Probability |
|---|---|
| If the team doesn't change we expect a 5% growth in the selling of the tickets due to the last 3 years trend | 70% |
| Due to the rumours the best player (Giannis Antetokounmpo) is going to be traded so we expect a fall of 10% | 30% |
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Description
Our sample takes into consideration from 2013 to 2019 in order to evaluate the numbers of a full season without any interruptions (in 2012 there was a lockout and in 2020 there was COVID). We are going to consider the season 2021-2022 because next season is going to be still influenced by the effects of COVID19.
The average through these years was: 636,917
They sold a total of 4.458.417 million splits in this way:
1) 2012-2013: 616.469
2) 2013-2014: 552.967
3) 2014-2015: 611.226
4) 2015-2016: 621.808
5) 2016-2017: 648.952
6) 2017-2018: 685.303
7) 2018-2019: 721.692
Starts
Nov 10, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closes
Nov 19, 2020 12:00PM UTC
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