Welcome to AlphaCast

We are combining all our opinions, knowledge, and experience to see if we can predict the future.

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Try making a prediction:

Will U.S. holiday retail sales (between November 2018 and January 2019) exceed $1.10 trillion?

What do you think the chances are?

Here's how to participate:

Browse Questions

Look at the predictions of others and see where you have an opinion.

Make a Prediction

Add your own predictions and change the crowd consensus.

Update your Predictions

When you get new information or change your opinion, update your prediction.

Were you Right?

When the answer is known, see how well you did. If your prediction was way off, why? Learn from this experience and keep getting better.


Expert Tip!

Update your prediction often to reflect your latest thinking and information available to you.

Updating your forecasts often ensures you stay up to date with the rest of the crowd. To make this even easier for you we have a mobile app you can download so making a forecast from anywhere is just plan easy!

Successful results from Alphacast

In the French Election 332 forecasters made 7,269 predictions and predicted Emmanuel Macron would be elected with overwhelming odds
We were dialed in on the iPhone8 release predicting with a high probability, 8 of the 9 new features.
246 Forecasters drove the right conclusion that the Tesla Model 3 would be produced on time.

Our Latest Forecast Blog Posts

New to Prediction Markets? Four Tips to Get Started.

Joining a prediction market or prediction pool can be intimidating. You may feel like you've plunged into a world of impossible questions, ongoing arguments, and have no idea where to start. Here are some tips to get you started.

Read More

Cultivate Forecasts - Mobile App Updates

The Cultivate Forecasts mobile app is your on-the-go source to make real-time predictions. You can register, forecast, comment and keep up with all your predictions from your iOS or Android device.

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Current Forecasting Challenges

At The Movies

Are you a movie buff? Give us your predictions on the blockbusters and biggest flops.

Dec 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC

World's Largest Companies

Predict business events influencing the world's biggest companies, their leaders, employees, and customers - and the general marketplace at large.

Dec 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC

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How soon until Amazoogle takes over the world? The 1st commercial trip to Mars? Make predictions on the most innovative technology, products and businesses.

Jan 01, 2021 06:59AM UTC

Politically Speaking

Hot topics in U.S. and global politics that impact the state of the union and the rest of the world.

Dec 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Music & Movie Awards

Help us predict 2018 winners for the biggest awards in music, tv, and film.

Dec 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Cryptocurrency Predictions

We ask about the price of BTC, ETH, LTC, prominent alt-coins, and events that will influence them.

Dec 31, 2018 04:49PM UTC

It's Game Time!

Got game? If the sport is in season, then we've got questions. Show us your skills predicting the major sporting events.

Dec 31, 2018 06:59AM UTC