Welcome to AlphaCast

We are combining all our opinions, knowledge, and experience to see if we can predict the future.

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Try making a prediction:

Will Boeing's software fix for the 737 MAX 8 commercial jet be approved by the FAA before June 1, 2019?

What do you think the chances are?

Here's how to participate:

Browse Questions

Look at the predictions of others and see where you have an opinion.

Make a Prediction

Add your own predictions and change the crowd consensus.

Update your Predictions

When you get new information or change your opinion, update your prediction.

Were you Right?

When the answer is known, see how well you did. If your prediction was way off, why? Learn from this experience and keep getting better.

Latest activity on AlphaCast

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Expert Tip!

Update your prediction often to reflect your latest thinking and information available to you.

Updating your forecasts often ensures you stay up to date with the rest of the crowd. To make this even easier for you we have a mobile app you can download so making a forecast from anywhere is just plan easy!

Successful results from Alphacast

In the French Election 332 forecasters made 7,269 predictions and predicted Emmanuel Macron would be elected with overwhelming odds
We were dialed in on the iPhone8 release predicting with a high probability, 8 of the 9 new features.
246 Forecasters drove the right conclusion that the Tesla Model 3 would be produced on time.

Our Latest Forecast Blog Posts

New to Prediction Markets? Four Tips to Get Started.

Joining a prediction market or prediction pool can be intimidating. You may feel like you've plunged into a world of impossible questions, ongoing arguments, and have no idea where to start. Here are some tips to get you started.

Read More

Cultivate Forecasts - Mobile App Updates

The Cultivate Forecasts mobile app is your on-the-go source to make real-time predictions. You can register, forecast, comment and keep up with all your predictions from your iOS or Android device.

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Current Forecasting Challenges

Markets

Bull or bear? See how your predictions stack up against future market events.

Closing
Jan 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC

Economy

From consumer confidence to products poised to boom or bust, this is where you can predict economic trends.

Closing
Jan 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC

Fun

Here you'll find miscellaneous questions and off-the-wall prediction opportunities that don't fit in the main challenges.

Closing
Jan 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC

Tech

Robots and smartphones and Mars, oh my! Tech moves fast and in many different directions, making this a uniquely interesting challenge to engage with.

Closing
Jan 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC

Business

Predict business events influencing the world's biggest companies, their leaders, employees, and customers

Closing
Jan 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC