Will the GOP have a brokered convention?
Started
Dec 11, 2015 04:54PM UTC
Closed Jul 18, 2016 05:00AM UTC
Closed Jul 18, 2016 05:00AM UTC
Challenges
This will resolve as true if the first ballot does not result in a majority for any candidate.
See relevant context here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/gop-preparing-for-contested-convention/2015/12/10/d72574bc-9f73-11e5-8728-1af6af208198_story.html?postshare=7511449851046020&tid=ss_tw-bottom
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 20% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 26 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
Number of Forecasts | 103 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |