Which Republican candidate will win the New Hampshire Primary in 2016?
Started
Nov 25, 2015 07:44PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2016 12:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2016 12:00PM UTC
Challenges
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 55% | |
| Marco Rubio | 20% | |
| Carly Fiorina | 2% | |
| Ted Cruz | 6% | |
| Jeb Bush | 6% | |
| Ben Carson | 2% | |
| Other | 8% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 16 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 81 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
