Who will be the Democratic Party's nominee for President of the United States in 2016?

Started Oct 27, 2015 05:58PM UTC
Closed Apr 27, 2016 12:00AM UTC
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Hillary Clinton 87%
Bernie Sanders 13%
Other 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 112
Average for questions older than 6 months: 11
Number of Forecasts 353
Average for questions older than 6 months: 48
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.026
2.
-0.025
3.
-0.014

Consensus Trend

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