Who will be the Republican Party's nominee for President of the United States in 2016?
Started
Oct 27, 2015 05:01PM UTC
Closed Jul 19, 2016 11:47PM UTC
Closed Jul 19, 2016 11:47PM UTC
Challenges
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 4% | |
| Jeb Bush | 2% | |
| Donald Trump | 84% | |
| Ben Carson | 0% | |
| Ted Cruz | 9% | |
| Carly Fiorina | 0% | |
| Chris Christie | 0% | |
| John Kasich | 0% | |
| Mike Huckabee | 0% | |
| Rand Paul | 0% | |
| Other | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 65 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 11 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 695 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 48 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |
